Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.048000 0.056544 0.066104 0.077583 0.090988 0.106139 0.124556
2025-07-06 0.033642 0.044337 0.057639 0.075364 0.098331 0.127053 0.165675
2025-07-13 0.026772 0.038489 0.054299 0.077119 0.109133 0.152367 0.215107
2025-07-20 0.021898 0.033842 0.051086 0.077671 0.117485 0.174737 0.263145
2025-07-27 0.018435 0.030338 0.048564 0.078311 0.125438 0.196960 0.313432
2025-08-03 0.015919 0.027717 0.046753 0.079443 0.133887 0.220553 0.368469
2025-08-10 0.014171 0.025973 0.045944 0.081859 0.144435 0.248420 0.433546
2025-08-17 0.011888 0.022882 0.042349 0.078924 0.145435 0.260539 0.473771
2025-08-24 0.010402 0.020954 0.040441 0.078565 0.150682 0.280238 0.529169
2025-08-31 0.009067 0.019073 0.038307 0.077410 0.154195 0.297089 0.581267
2025-09-07 0.008257 0.018086 0.037698 0.079021 0.163026 0.324551 0.656166
2025-09-14 0.007306 0.016649 0.035979 0.078152 0.166818 0.342786 0.715347
2025-09-21 0.006362 0.015092 0.033831 0.076179 0.168290 0.357018 0.769160
2025-09-28 0.005509 0.013595 0.031593 0.073695 0.168373 0.368497 0.818938
2025-10-05 0.005082 0.013010 0.031262 0.075349 0.177588 0.400004 0.914764
2025-10-12 0.004627 0.012281 0.030491 0.075876 0.184331 0.426973 1.003954
2025-10-19 0.004232 0.011632 0.029808 0.076498 0.191352 0.455331 1.099604
2025-10-26 0.003908 0.011111 0.029354 0.077604 0.199647 0.487501 1.207796
2025-11-02 0.003681 0.010809 0.029402 0.079965 0.211297 0.528780 1.342278
2025-11-09 0.003231 0.009814 0.027522 0.077097 0.209469 0.537767 1.399952
2025-11-16 0.002943 0.009231 0.026644 0.076745 0.214052 0.562881 1.500421
2025-11-23 0.002656 0.008600 0.025539 0.075617 0.216426 0.582737 1.589916
2025-11-30 0.002498 0.008332 0.025410 0.077191 0.226318 0.622924 1.736709